Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 55.290997 63.103006 71.166708 80.078430 89.618632 99.494798 110.461029
2025-05-04 42.893033 53.876139 65.814221 79.613996 94.993309 111.485351 130.389253
2025-05-11 35.160820 47.684495 61.852250 78.775356 98.169480 119.459551 144.364455
2025-05-18 30.110701 43.760901 59.753831 79.388626 102.402224 128.131514 158.698036
2025-05-25 25.558305 39.822918 57.119330 78.908883 104.975283 134.592552 170.251773
2025-06-01 22.179842 36.932990 55.401703 79.210193 108.201039 141.595348 182.251760
2025-06-08 18.804587 33.657097 52.888508 78.268497 109.719865 146.432393 191.604807
2025-06-15 16.805840 32.015710 52.277474 79.531496 113.777682 154.166878 204.268175
2025-06-22 15.116707 30.619583 51.842936 80.900910 117.878638 161.894216 216.887715
2025-06-29 12.918806 28.229473 49.889934 80.164991 119.250517 166.259403 225.462110
2025-07-06 10.624097 25.407981 47.130740 78.196039 118.931428 168.466733 231.374179
2025-07-13 10.051888 25.281995 48.125974 81.190963 124.898524 178.346633 246.509347
2025-07-20 9.167164 24.558373 48.233793 82.999811 129.393177 186.497377 259.678259
2025-07-27 7.775434 22.780810 46.679397 82.455285 130.792383 190.793981 268.169712
2025-08-03 6.490372 21.000228 44.985253 81.609970 131.716914 194.440061 275.824006
2025-08-10 5.669614 19.980745 44.379718 82.234454 134.536522 200.436057 286.346962
2025-08-17 4.732071 18.564896 43.047105 81.744868 135.819083 204.457388 294.416175
2025-08-24 4.047789 17.563224 42.304900 82.052491 138.132682 209.763591 304.064231
2025-08-31 3.252260 16.134235 40.750597 81.090907 138.671728 212.767271 310.826402
2025-09-07 2.872512 15.635892 40.729993 82.380565 142.267778 219.688496 322.481913
2025-09-14 2.545449 15.206537 40.794809 83.778691 146.004615 226.792883 334.378162
2025-09-21 2.006943 14.044438 39.483046 83.027367 146.728896 229.973866 341.334109
2025-09-28 1.432470 12.535047 37.414190 81.016913 145.628496 230.731201 345.197063